With just over a week to go until the UN's new climate report is
released, media stories are beginning to be written anticipating
the report, and a series of leaks from the notoriously leaky review
process have provided ample fodder for those who want to put their
own spin on things.
Telegraph gets a few things wrong in examining what
scientists know and don't know about the link between extreme
weather and climate change.
the paper uncritically reproduced the argument of a piece
Mail on Sunday which claimed that the IPCC's estimate of
how much the world has warmed since 1951 has halved since the last
report in 2007.
That claim appears to be
wrong, but the Telegraph piece
this morning repeats some of the arguments - as well as
some new ones about the link between extreme weather and climate
Hurricanes, droughts and floods
Let's focus on what the new IPCC report apparently says
rising global temperatures and hurricanes, droughts and
floods. Writing in the Telegraph, journalist Bruno Waterfield
"The EU has often linked extreme weather
events to global warming after the IPCC said six years ago that it
was more than 50 per cent sure that hurricanes, flooding and
droughts were being caused by manmade global warming. That figure
is expected to be revised down to less than a 21 per cent certainty
that natural disasters are caused by climate change."