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Climate modelling
LATEST IN CLIMATE MODELLING

Autumn leaves. Credit: Vichaya Kiatying-Angsulee / Alamy Stock Photo. G8MN0T

State of the climate: Low sea ice and near-record warmth define 2019 to date

This year is shaping up to be the second warmest on record for most surface temperature datasets, behind only the super-El Niño year of 2016. This is... Read More

State of the climate | Oct 16. 2019.
Aerial view of coal power station at Walsum am Rhein, Germany.

Explainer: The high-emissions ‘RCP8.5’ global warming scenario

A sizeable portion of recent studies on future climate impacts have focused on a warming scenario called “RCP8.5”. This high-emissions scenario is... Read More

Explainers | Aug 21. 2019.
People cooling down in the spray of water mist as temperatures soar into the thirties in Krakow Poland 2018

Guest post: How extreme weather conditions could last longer due to climate change

Peter Pfleiderer is a researcher at Humboldt University in Berlin and a research analyst at Climate Analytics. Dr Kai Kornhuber is postdoctoral... Read More

Guest posts | Aug 19. 2019.
A woman waters her crops near a river in Vientiane, Laos. Credit: Joerg Boethling / Alamy Stock Photo. W18X5B

Guest post: Understanding the water-energy-food nexus in a warming climate

Prof Declan Conway is a professorial research fellow at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at the London School of... Read More

Guest posts | Aug 7. 2019.
A pedestrian on Waterloo Bridge shelters with a newspaper from the sun. 25 July 2019, London.

Climate change made Europe’s 2019 record heatwave up to ‘100 times more likely’

The run of unprecedented temperatures in July – which sent records tumbling in the UK, the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany – would have been... Read More

Attribution | Aug 2. 2019.
A man cools himself in Lille, France, 28 June 2019, as temperatures in France hit 45C. Credit: Xinhua / Alamy Stock Photo.

France’s record-breaking heatwave made ‘at least five times’ more likely by climate change

The record-breaking heatwave that struck France last week was made at “least five times more likely” by climate change, according to a new... Read More

Heatwaves | Jul 2. 2019.
Alpenglow at sunrise on Annapurna South, Nepal Himalayas. Credit: Ashley Cooper / Alamy Stock Photo.

Cold-war spy photos reveal ‘doubling’ of glacier ice loss in Himalayas

The rate of glacier retreat in the Himalayas has doubled since the late 20th century, a new study finds. ... Read More

Glaciers | Jun 19. 2019.

Guest post: Why natural cycles only play small role in rate of global warming

Dr Karsten Haustein and Dr Friederike Otto are scientists at the University of Oxford’s Environmental Change Institute; Zeke Hausfather is the US... Read More

Guest posts | May 24. 2019.
Solitary tree during a drought in Queensland, Australia. Credit: Outback Australia / Alamy Stock Photo. F56HKE

Guest post: How will climate change’s warming pattern look in the future?

Dr Andrew King is lecturer in climate science at the School of Earth Sciences and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes at the University of... Read More

Guest posts | Apr 24. 2019.
The Cray XC40 supercomputer used by Met Office climate scientists. Credit: Met Office.

Guest post: Why results from the next generation of climate models matter

Prof Stephen Belcher is chief scientist at the UK Met Office; Dr Olivier Boucher is head of the Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL) Climate Modelling... Read More

Guest posts | Mar 21. 2019.
Stratocumulus clouds above the northwestern Pacific Ocean. Credit: ISS Expedition 34 Crew / NASA / Wikimedia Commons.

Extreme CO2 levels could trigger clouds ‘tipping point’ and 8C of global warming

If atmospheric CO2 levels exceed 1,200 parts per million (ppm), it could push the Earth’s climate over a “tipping point”, finds a new study.... Read More

Global temperature | Feb 25. 2019.
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